Posted by
Christopher Van on Tuesday, November 25, 2008 11:20:23 AM
Russian professor Igor Panarin has suggested that the United States is on the verge of collapse. He initially made this prediction 10 years ago, and this week granted an interview to IZVESTIA this past Monday where he reiterated his dire outlook.
I believe that there is a lot of credence to what Panarin is saying for several reasons. First, our dollar is not backed by anything. Until the 1970’s, our dollar was backed by gold. However, going off the gold standard left us with dollars that were realistically backed by nothing but hot air and our reputation as the world financial leader.
Second, our debt as recently as the 1980’s was non-existent. When Panarin made his first prediction of the demise of America in 1998, our debt was $2 trillion. Today our debt is $11 trillion. I would ask you, is this a house of cards ready to fall?
Third, we are seeing some of our largest, oldest and most respected banks either bankrupt, on the verge of bankruptcy or in government receivership. This crisis, while initially the fault of the federal government, is spreading like a plague throughout the private sector. The question is whether or not there is a cure. American’s put their stock in the rhetoric of an Obama administration, so the reality is there is no cure.
Panarin goes on to suggest that America will break up into multiple parts, or nations. Historically, the average life expectancy of any free society is about two hundred years. We are well beyond that, and arguably are no longer the free society that we once were.
The political divide in our nation has become increasingly polarized with northeast and west coast paradigms that are extremely different than the southern and western regions of our nation. There are currently more than two dozen secessionist movements underway, and it is likely that one or more of these will ultimately succeed.
For the past fifty years we have watched our largest cities deteriorate, as jobs moved overseas and increasing taxes, high crime and lousy schools forced the achievers to the suburbs. The result has been inner city chaos with many cities either in or headed for bankruptcy.
If the Big Three go under, what will that do to an already decimated Michigan economy? If the banks go under, where will that leave New York or San Francisco? Panarin suggests that the demise of these cities will result in 6 distinct nations forming in what was once the United States. The west coast, the northeast, the western states, Texas, the south and the middle part of the nation.
I don’t necessarily disagree that this will eventually happen, although the alignment of these new nations may be somewhat different. In all likelihood, a west coast alliance is a good bet given the shared propensity for socialist idealism in California, Washington and Oregon. There will be a southwest alliance as the result of the reconquista, or retaking of the land that illegal aliens seek to procure, called Aztlan. The reformation of the south, with boundaries similar to the Confederate States of America would bring together states with similar religious values and customs. The northeast has long held a worldview much different than the rest of America, and like the west would foster a new government based upon socialism. The Midwest and northern tier of states with their ties to Canada, as well as farming and manufacturing would likely evolve. As for Hawaii and Alaska, they may each achieve the independence that many residents already seek.
Will this happen in our life? I would put the odds at better than 50/50 that we will see a change in the boundaries of what we consider the United States in the next fifty years. The polarization amongst the electorate is indicative of a cultural civil war already being waged. The election of Barack Obama has resulted in purchases of guns reaching record levels; meaning that our cultural civil war could become much more if the direction of our nation is not altered.
Arguably, now more than ever, is the time to step up to support real American values of hard work, self reliance and rugged individualism. The people with these values will be the ones who capitalize and benefit from whatever is going to happen. Having an escape strategy is not a bad idea, although any destabilization of our domestic economy will have negative ripples throughout the world.
The life cycle of any free society involves eight phases. The society begins by breaking the shackles of bondage and moving to spiritual faith. It then moves from faith to great courage. Then comes liberty, followed by abundance. The abundances leads to complacency which turns to apathy. This apathy results in dependence and inevitably back to bondage. As you consider the predictions of Panarin, give some thought to where we are as a society. My best guess is that we are somewhere between apathy and dependence. Considering the election of Obama, I would lean towards the latter.
As the government takes over businesses, threatens to silence free speech, ban guns and seize our 401k plans, it would appear that bondage is within reach. Consider the words and predictions of Panarin, brush up on your 18th and 19th century U.S history and then come to the realization that history repeats itself. It always has and it always will.
Christopher Van
www.christophervan.com